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Defining the future of DC
Pensions Age DC roundtable

The combined effects of falling stockmarkets, growing deficits and increased life expectancy have thrown the future of the defined benefit market into question, allowing the defined contribution set-up to come to the fore.

But any pension arrangement is only as good as the legislative framework in which it resides and, unless the government can address the shortfalls in the current pensions system, the future of all occupational pensions may be under threat.

It is with this in mind that Pensions Age brought together four experts in the field of DC to contemplate the future of the DC market, highlight some of the holes in the current legislation, and shed some light on the shape of things to come.

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The cast:

Chairman: Roger Cobley, having recently been re-elected as President of the Pensions Management Institute (PMI), boasts extensive experience in the pensions sector. He is currently a director of Stamford Associates Limited, the investment consultancy firm, chairman of several pension funds, a fellow of the Institute of Actuaries, an associate of the Society of Actuaries as well as a Freeman of the City of London, to name but a few of his achievements

Nick Wheeler is sales director at Paymaster, where he has worked since January 1999. Nick boasts more than 25 years experience in the financial services sector, concentrating largely on pensions, and is also a fellow of the Chartered Insurance Institute.

Jeremy Ward is head of pensions marketing at Friends Provident, where he has worked since 1994. Previous roles at Friends Provident include head of product management and head of strategic marketing.

Richard Parkin is head of DC product development at Fidelity Investments, having joined in September 2002. He has also been an associate of the Pensions Management Institute since 1992.

Andrew Cheseldine is a senior consultant in Watson Wyatt's Benefits Practice. His principal area of expertise is in advising on and implementing employee benefit programmes, particularly DC pension arrangements in replacement of existing DB pension arrangements.

The debate:

Chairman: We have now had the proposals from the Inland Revenue regarding simplification, and the announcement that the new tax regime is not going to start until 2006; in view of that simplification, how is it going to change the DC landscape?

Do we think that there will be trust-based schemes in the future or will employers opt for the alternatives that are out there?

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Parkin: I think that trust-based schemes will continue for a number of reasons. First, there are some advantages to running a DC scheme alongside a DB scheme within the same trust. Some have, of course, disappeared along with surpluses, but there are advantages there.

What I do think, though, is what simplification has done is take away some of both the real and perceived advantages of occupational schemes, for example, putting in place one tax regime for all pensions is going to take away some of the funding flexibility.

In addition, there are a number of things coming out of the wider pension reform that are likely to make occupational schemes less attractive or at least put them on an equal footing to personal pensions, for example immediate vesting or near-immediate vesting.

I also think that, with some of the product flexibility that is afforded under the new regulations, some trustees are going to balk at putting them into their plans if they have got to do it themselves.

Chairman: But, if you move away from a trust-based scheme, is it not the case that the employer becomes less of a provider and more of a facilitator of pensions which, in turn, breaks with tradition and weakens the partnership between employer and employee?

Ward: Some employers would see this as a good thing. With a contract-based approach, costs are lower and there are fewer burdens. As a result, I think we are already seeing most new schemes being set up as contract-based, and the trust-based DC schemes today are only being set up where there is already a DB scheme in place.

Wheeler: I think it all depends on how paternalistic the employer is as many employers would actually welcome becoming more disconnected from the pension scheme because of the responsibilities attached.

This means that more is being thrown back onto the individual again with employers of DC schemes increasingly seeing themselves as making available a facility to their employees, rather than making available a pension to them.

On the other hand, you do have the more paternalistic employers, for example large employers with DB schemes, who will set up trust based DC schemes to run alongside their existing DB schemes, and these are the ones that want to still have some say in what's going on.

Chairman: Because it becomes contract-based rather than trust-based, when you do the marketing are you selling to the employer to sell on to the employee, or are you using the employer as the conduit for marketing the pension to a group of individuals?

Cheseldine: I think it depends on who you are. From the consultant point of view, I think you are nearly always selling to the employer in the first instance; if you are a provider, you just want contributions and you don’t care what distribution channel you use to get them.

But, following on from this, I think there is a strong argument for saying that many employees shouldn’t put money into a pension unless they are getting a matching contribution from an employer.

The reason I say this is because a pension, per se, is not inherently a very good tax effective investment – all you are doing is deferring tax, not saving it, therefore, for a large proportion of the population (lower earners particularly) investing in a pension is not a financially astute thing to do.

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Employer contributions

Chairman: Picking up on this point of employer contribution, why would they contribute; what do they get out of it?

Cheseldine: In short, the employer will only contribute if there is a commercial advantage in doing so. For example, I know of three FTSE100 organisations that have moved from DC to a form of DB in the last year and I think we have reached the point at which employers do see the commercial advantage of saying to new prospective employees, “we offer a DB scheme”.

True, we have had three years of falling stockmarkets, but, the reality is that mortality rates are not deteriorating and organisations may find that offering a DB pension scheme of some variety helps get people through the door.

Chairman: So why doesn’t the employer just offer a pay rise and let the employees do what they want with the money? Isn’t that easier?

Ward: The trouble with that is, a pay rise will help the motivation problem for several months or so but eventually the impact will wear off and the company down the road which offers a pension scheme is going to look more attractive.

Chairman: There is also an argument for saying that if Adair Turner, following his review of the industry, says that compulsion is necessary, then the employer who has been paying more salary rather than contributing to a pension scheme is going to be saddled with that pay rise plus the contributions.

In addition to this, though, is it not true that if contributions aren’t increased, some sort of compulsion is inevitable?

Ward: While that may be a very big picture approach, I don’t think employers will contribute in order to avoid compulsion – the main reason they may do so is to secure a well motivated, loyal workforce.

Wheeler: The nature of the workforce in question is also relevant – the more blue collar, the less pressure there seems to be to have a decent pension scheme whereas with white collar companies, the pension scheme becomes much more of an issue when it comes to recruitment.

Cheseldine: The salaries of the employees are also significant – if you have 20,000 employees, 19,000 of which are on £12,000 or less, then providing a pension scheme is almost irrelevant as they are not going to be able to afford to contribute.

Wheeler: That’s where you get the problem of compulsion as, if you don’t earn very much, then compulsory contributions are not going to produce a very large pension.

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The effect of means testing

Parkin: I think this is one of the problems with some of the current government policies – they have an obsession with trying to make people with not much money save more. Trouble is, if they do save, then they risk losing their state benefits.

Chairman: True. Approximately 5m people are being means tested today. The government’s argument is that it has limited resources available so it only wants to target those that really need it and, therefore, some sort of means testing is necessary; but this should not involve half the pensioner population. So, I think the basic state pension should be increased.

Parkin: It is interesting to see consensus growing around this point from all angles. The Pensions Policy Institute, for example, is certainly more focussed on the social issues than some of the other groups but it is in agreement on this issue; while the Adam Smith Institute, with Alan Pickering on board, is coming at it from the other end of the spectrum, but is proposing the same thing.

Even David Willetts of the Conservative party agrees. Trouble is, we are in danger of coming to a consensus on this with the only people not in agreement being the DWP and the Treasury.

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Contracting Out

Parkin: I would even argue that we should get rid of any interaction between state pension and private pensions and, following on from this, contracting out should be abolished.

I understand that there are swathes of the provider industry that rely on contracting out rebates for a good deal of their income but, otherwise, it is frankly a distraction for a lot of corporate pension providers.

Wheeler: I agree. Removing contracting out would help enormously with things like combined forecasts.

Chairman: I remember when contracting out was first introduced in the mid 70s and I argued against it. I was condemned at the time for being a heretic but I always maintained that if the state wants to do something, it should do it, and if an employer wants to something, then it should do it, and never the twain should meet.

Today, presumably, those with large DB schemes that are still contracted out are so because of a state of inertia?

Cheseldine: It isn’t quite that simple. We have done a lot with schemes looking at contracting back in and they always tend to stay contracted out as the costs of changing the scheme are too high, and communicating the changes to their members is also too difficult.

Cheseldine: There is a link between contracting out and the Pension Protection Fund (PPF). I, personally, have a bee in my bonnet that the PPF has a hidden agenda. At the moment, if a DB scheme goes bust then the members are protected to the extent that their GMP benefits/protected rights benefits are guaranteed by the government under deemed buy back.

So, broadly, about 25 per cent of typical scheme benefits are guaranteed. Under the PPF, however, this will be reduced to zero as the government will guarantee nothing, it will all be provided by the employer instead.

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Moving from DB to DC

Chairman: Going back to the employer and the difference between DB and DC, it always struck me that one advantage of a DB plan was to use it in times of employment restructuring, which went on quite considerably in the late 80s/early 90s, when surpluses were common.

So, we should not lose sight of the fact that it was possible to ease people into early retirement very humanely at that time; and in the headlong rush to provide DC, people have lost sight of what was, I think, an advantage for the employer.

Ward: But that is an advantage that probably isn’t there today as there aren’t many surpluses about. One other issue not to lose sight of is when employers at the lower end of the scale move from DB to DC, there may well be significant cost savings.

Cheseldine: This may be true with the smaller employer but at the larger employer end of the market this is not a key driver. I have helped transition four FTSE100 companies and approximately 15 other large organisations in the last five years and on only one occasion did the employer say they were looking for significant cost savings. What they were all looking for were savings in cost volatility.

Wheeler: I think, though, if you come down the scale I have seen cases where the pension costs have come down from as much as 14 per cent to three per cent contributions; added to this, because of the low take-up, they are making very substantial savings.

Chairman: So, going back to the point of getting contributions up, how can the pensions industry achieve this?

Parkin: There are some great lessons to be learnt from other countries. For example, in the US they have something called “compliance testing”, which will only offer basic tax breaks for higher paid individuals if there is adequate pension coverage of lower paid individuals in the company. It has some drawbacks but it does manage to get some coverage of the lower paid.

Cheseldine: Another design we have seen in the US goes under the name of “Pay More Tomorrow”, and it effectively relies on inertia. i.e. pension contributions go up automatically each time the individual gets a pay rise and there is evidence that it works.

Wheeler: But, you still need to educate individuals more about what their income is going to be upon retirement and, while I think some of these US models are very good for the younger people, it is those further up the ladder that are going to suffer from the DC shift. A point that, perhaps, should be picked up next time.

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