DB pension funding remains 'strong' despite gilt yield fall

Defined benefit (DB) pension schemes continue to hold sufficient assets for buyout on average, despite an increase in the estimated buyout cost over June and a fall in the aggregate surplus, analysis from PwC has revealed.

The PwC Buyout Index recorded a surplus of £155bn in June, after a drop in gilt yields drove a £45bn fall compared to the previous month.

In addition to this, PwC's Low Reliance Index, which assumes schemes invest in low-risk, income-generating assets like bonds, revealed a “strong surplus” of £330bn.

PWC noted that these healthy surpluses have prompted an increased focus on whether more of the assets held in pension schemes can be invested in productive UK assets that could help drive economic growth, arguing that there is a potential for a “win-win-win” solution.

PwC head of pensions funding and transformation, John Dunn, commented: “"Given the resilience of the surplus and asset values holding up, we are seeing significant encouragement for DB schemes to invest more within the UK.

“This can be seen through the discussions the government is having with the pensions industry, with plans for ‘GB superfunds’ expected to be revealed in the Chancellor’s Mansion House speech next week.

"Just focusing on unlocking the c.£330bn surplus in UK DB schemes would provide a lot of investment firepower.

“Although there are challenges to achieving a ‘GB superfund’, particularly answering the question ‘why would a fully funded DB scheme take more risk than needed?’

“However, if done in a way which balances the interests of all stakeholders, there is a potential win-win-win scenario; with surplus funds available to invest in UK business, potential higher returns for pensioners and a boost to the UK’s economy.”

Adding to this, PwC pensions actuary, Laura Treece, said: “Around half of the assets held by UK private sector DB schemes - about £700bn - are currently not invested in the UK, with about £200bn held in overseas equities.

"Investing even a proportion of this to support the UK could boost economic growth, while enabling pension schemes to make sure that they are generating the positive real returns needed to pay benefits for their members.

“But this might not be right for all schemes. For example, UK infrastructure is a long-term illiquid asset; schemes looking to transfer to the insurance market in the short-term may not want to lock in to an asset they might not be able to pass to an insurer.

“However for others, if the new funding regime allows, investing in productive UK assets could be mutually beneficial for members, businesses and the wider UK economy.”

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